Wednesday, 23 March 2022

Parallel structures

“The State is a condition, a certain relationship between human beings, a mode of human behavior; we destroy it by contracting other relationships, by behaving differently.”

Gustav Landauer

Ignoring is bliss


In the course of the last two years many countries have imposed their will upon their citizens. Using the  vast funds at their disposal and their relative efficiency,  it has been hard  for their citizens to escape the quarantines and mandatory vaccines and forced lockdowns. The state has been hard to ignore.


But this is not the case in South Africa.  The government does not have vast funds,  They are not even remotely efficient,  and most of the time have almost no clue.   This opens up a workable form of resistance to the endlessly encroaching state. In South Africa you don't have to defeat the government,  you don't have to overpower them,  you can simply ignore them in relative safety.  Most of the population does. 


Here is a list of government interventions that you can simply ignore, or avoid:


  1. E tolls

  2. TV licences

  3. Tax - most citizens

  4. Speed fines

  5. Electricity payments - Soweto

  6. Rates - most townships

  7. Bitcoin enquiries

  8. Vaccines

  9. Street and town renaming

  10. POPI act

  11. Internet publishing restrictions

  12. Mask mandates 

  13. Calling the police


Instead of endlessly worrying “what is to  be done”, simply do nothing.


For further ideas, visit The Parallel Society vs Totalitarianism | How to Create a Free World


Wednesday, 9 March 2022

Past tense, Future imperfect

 

by Trevor Watkins


In science the quality of your research and your thinking is measured by the number of hypotheses you suggest that turn out to have some basis in truth,  as revealed by the passage of time.


 As a student of the human condition I make predictions from time to time which are then measured against the revealed reality,  in the endless hope of being able to say “I told you so”,  but also to give me and my loved ones some tools for navigating a treacherous future.


In 2018 I penned an article called The future in which I laid out three possible scenarios for the next couple of years.  Having three scenarios is a good strategy since it  significantly improves your chances of being right.


Most of my predictions were about 12 to 18 months early. Remember the article was written in 2018 and 2020 seemed a long way in the future.  I have cherry-picked some of the better predictions below, while ignoring the worse ones.


Time frame

Prediction

Reality

Time frame

Late 2018

The “Incident” occurs. This might be an Eskom or SAA loan default, a natural disaster, an assassination, a major riot, an epidemic

The Covid pandemic starts in China..


The KZN riots occur .

late 2019



July 2020

Early 2019

State of emergency declared by Ramaphosa.

 

2019 elections delayed indefinitely.

 

 

 

 

 

Growth rate is negative 1%. 

 

Unemployment reaches 50%.

 

May 2019 election results

ANC 55%

DA 20%

EFF 15%

State of disaster declared by Ramaphosa.

 

2019 elections proceed

 

IEC attempts to delay 2021 LG elections. Overruled by Concourt.

 

Growth rate 1.2% in Q4/21

 

Unemployment 46,6% in Q3/2021 

 

ANC 57.5%

DA 20.77%

EFF 10.8%

March 2020


May 2019


November 2021



December 2021



May 2019

Mid 2019

Service delivery rioting increases around country. 


Riots move from dusty townships into leafy suburbs. 


Army deployed to curb riots, but ineffective. 


Death toll in riots exceeds 1,000.

Riots in KZN



Many urban areas hit



Army deployed, but ineffective



Death toll exceeds 350

July 2020


DA becomes a liberal party.

Mmusi Maimane resigns, more liberal policies implemented by Steenhuizen.

Oct 2019

Late 2019

Ramaphosa remains president of a deeply divided country.


South Africa stumbles along with no major policy shifts and poor future prospects.

Ramaphosa remains president of a deeply divided country.


South Africa stumbles along with no major policy shifts and poor future prospects.

March 2022


So, I predicted the pandemic, the KZN riots, the state of disaster, the election results, and the re-alignment of the DA. Now for my next trick…


In the Old Testament's Book of Ezekiel, the 4 horsemen of the Apocalypse are  sword, famine, wild beasts and pestilence or plague. We’ve already had sword and pestilence. Famine is coming. And the wild beast is a Black swan, or perhaps an alien.


Herewith my predictions for 2022 and beyond..


Subject

Description

Before

Consequences

Covid

Covid declines to endemic flu status

Q3

All Covid mandates worldwide lifted.


Vaccine injuries 

Q4

Vaccine injury deaths exceed Covid deaths


Many vaccine injury court cases begin


Recriminations for Covid policies escalate

Q3

CDC/NIH  re-organised in US


WHO / SAGE / Imperial College humiliated


Many Public Health Agencies collapse/close


Fauci resigns


Ivermectin approved for worldwide use.


Moderna and Pfizer declare bankruptcy





Ukraine

Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire


Russian troops begin withdrawal

Q2

Without preconditions.


Remain in Donbas and Crimea


International peace conference scheduled

Q3

NATO states, Ukraine, Russia, China, UN observers


Putin deposed

Q3

Forced to retire by FSB


Russian economy craters

Q4

Starvation, destitution in Russia


Big win for US and EU construction conglomerates as Ukraine rebuilding begins.

Q3

Massive governmental aid goes to construction companies.





Economy

US inflation exceeds 10%

Q2

Debt, logistics, oil. Widespread rioting in US.


Stock exchanges drop 50% worldwide

Q3

World recession begins


Food shortages widespread in Western countries

Q3

Bill Gates stands to profit from US land purchases


Oil $200/barrel

Q3

May reduce as Russian supply returns





US politics

Biden declared medically unfit

Q4

Kamala Harris takes over as president. 


Republican have majority in House and Senate after midterms

Q5

Massive legislative programs begin to reverse Democrats policy


Republicans mount bid to impeach Biden/Harris after midterms

Q5

Could even replace president, given majority





China

Taiwan invasion delayed to 2024

Q3

Worldwide response to Putin aggression sends Chinese home to think again


Chinese growth rate collapses

Q3

Drops to below 3%


Widespread unrest

Q4

Internal unrest increases despite violent suppression.

External protests increase.









World

Canada, Australia and New Zealand governments replaced with conservatives.

Q4

Trudeau sued, exits politics. Australian and NZ state governors sued for lockdown offences.





South Africa

Cape secession referendum approved

Q3

New SA polling mechanism through Xtra card shows widespread support in WC.


World recession wreaks havoc on SA economy. Massive inflation, unemployment. 

Q3

Eskom, SOEs close to collapse. 


Sassa grants not paid

Q3

Widespread rioting


IMF loan approved

Q4

Sassa grant payments resume





Aliens

Detected and confirmed

Q4

Aliens insist on speaking with Elon Musk





Culture

Woke movement collapses.

Q3

Made irrelevant by new conservative regimes


Global warming movement declines

Q3

Global recession pushes AGW to backburner.


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