Parallel structures

“The State is a condition, a certain relationship between human beings, a mode of human behavior; we destroy it by contracting other relationships, by behaving differently.”

Gustav Landauer

Ignoring is bliss

In the course of the last two years many countries have imposed their will upon their citizens. Using the  vast funds at their disposal and their relative efficiency,  it has been hard  for their citizens to escape the quarantines and mandatory vaccines and forced lockdowns. The state has been hard to ignore.

But this is not the case in South Africa.  The government does not have vast funds,  They are not even remotely efficient,  and most of the time have almost no clue.   This opens up a workable form of resistance to the endlessly encroaching state. In South Africa you don't have to defeat the government,  you don't have to overpower them,  you can simply ignore them in relative safety.  Most of the population does. 

Here is a list of government interventions that you can simply ignore, or avoid:

1. E tolls

2. TV licences

3. Tax - most citizens

4. Speed fines

5. Electricity payments - Soweto

6. Rates - most townships

7. Bitcoin enquiries

8. Vaccines

9. Street and town renaming

10. POPI act

11. Internet publishing restrictions

12. Mask mandates 

13. Calling the police

Instead of endlessly worrying “what is to  be done”, simply do nothing.

For further ideas, visit The Parallel Society vs Totalitarianism | How to Create a Free World

Past tense, Future imperfect

 

by Trevor Watkins

In science the quality of your research and your thinking is measured by the number of hypotheses you suggest that turn out to have some basis in truth,  as revealed by the passage of time.

 As a student of the human condition I make predictions from time to time which are then measured against the revealed reality,  in the endless hope of being able to say “I told you so”,  but also to give me and my loved ones some tools for navigating a treacherous future.

In 2018 I penned an article called The future in which I laid out three possible scenarios for the next couple of years.  Having three scenarios is a good strategy since it  significantly improves your chances of being right.

Most of my predictions were about 12 to 18 months early. Remember the article was written in 2018 and 2020 seemed a long way in the future.  I have cherry-picked some of the better predictions below, while ignoring the worse ones.

Time frame	Prediction	Reality	Time frame
Late 2018	The “Incident” occurs. This might be an Eskom or SAA loan default, a natural disaster, an assassination, a major riot, an epidemic	The Covid pandemic starts in China.. The KZN riots occur .	late 2019 July 2020
Early 2019	State of emergency declared by Ramaphosa.   2019 elections delayed indefinitely.           Growth rate is negative 1%.    Unemployment reaches 50%.   May 2019 election results ANC 55% DA 20% EFF 15%	State of disaster declared by Ramaphosa.   2019 elections proceed   IEC attempts to delay 2021 LG elections. Overruled by Concourt.   Growth rate 1.2% in Q4/21   Unemployment 46,6% in Q3/2021    ANC 57.5% DA 20.77% EFF 10.8%	March 2020 May 2019 November 2021 December 2021 May 2019
Mid 2019	Service delivery rioting increases around country.  Riots move from dusty townships into leafy suburbs.  Army deployed to curb riots, but ineffective.  Death toll in riots exceeds 1,000.	Riots in KZN Many urban areas hit Army deployed, but ineffective Death toll exceeds 350	July 2020
	DA becomes a liberal party.	Mmusi Maimane resigns, more liberal policies implemented by Steenhuizen.	Oct 2019
Late 2019	Ramaphosa remains president of a deeply divided country. South Africa stumbles along with no major policy shifts and poor future prospects.	Ramaphosa remains president of a deeply divided country. South Africa stumbles along with no major policy shifts and poor future prospects.	March 2022

So, I predicted the pandemic, the KZN riots, the state of disaster, the election results, and the re-alignment of the DA. Now for my next trick…

In the Old Testament's Book of Ezekiel, the 4 horsemen of the Apocalypse are  sword, famine, wild beasts and pestilence or plague. We’ve already had sword and pestilence. Famine is coming. And the wild beast is a Black swan, or perhaps an alien.

Herewith my predictions for 2022 and beyond..

Subject	Description	Before	Consequences
Covid	Covid declines to endemic flu status	Q3	All Covid mandates worldwide lifted.
	Vaccine injuries	Q4	Vaccine injury deaths exceed Covid deaths Many vaccine injury court cases begin
	Recriminations for Covid policies escalate	Q3	CDC/NIH  re-organised in US WHO / SAGE / Imperial College humiliated Many Public Health Agencies collapse/close Fauci resigns Ivermectin approved for worldwide use. Moderna and Pfizer declare bankruptcy
Ukraine	Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire Russian troops begin withdrawal	Q2	Without preconditions. Remain in Donbas and Crimea
	International peace conference scheduled	Q3	NATO states, Ukraine, Russia, China, UN observers
	Putin deposed	Q3	Forced to retire by FSB
	Russian economy craters	Q4	Starvation, destitution in Russia
	Big win for US and EU construction conglomerates as Ukraine rebuilding begins.	Q3	Massive governmental aid goes to construction companies.
Economy	US inflation exceeds 10%	Q2	Debt, logistics, oil. Widespread rioting in US.
	Stock exchanges drop 50% worldwide	Q3	World recession begins
	Food shortages widespread in Western countries	Q3	Bill Gates stands to profit from US land purchases
	Oil $200/barrel	Q3	May reduce as Russian supply returns
US politics	Biden declared medically unfit	Q4	Kamala Harris takes over as president.
	Republican have majority in House and Senate after midterms	Q5	Massive legislative programs begin to reverse Democrats policy
	Republicans mount bid to impeach Biden/Harris after midterms	Q5	Could even replace president, given majority
China	Taiwan invasion delayed to 2024	Q3	Worldwide response to Putin aggression sends Chinese home to think again
	Chinese growth rate collapses	Q3	Drops to below 3%
	Widespread unrest	Q4	Internal unrest increases despite violent suppression. External protests increase.
World	Canada, Australia and New Zealand governments replaced with conservatives.	Q4	Trudeau sued, exits politics. Australian and NZ state governors sued for lockdown offences.
South Africa	Cape secession referendum approved	Q3	New SA polling mechanism through Xtra card shows widespread support in WC.
	World recession wreaks havoc on SA economy. Massive inflation, unemployment.	Q3	Eskom, SOEs close to collapse.
	Sassa grants not paid	Q3	Widespread rioting
	IMF loan approved	Q4	Sassa grant payments resume
Aliens	Detected and confirmed	Q4	Aliens insist on speaking with Elon Musk
Culture	Woke movement collapses.	Q3	Made irrelevant by new conservative regimes
	Global warming movement declines	Q3	Global recession pushes AGW to backburner.